課程資訊
課程名稱
高等時間數列專題
Topics of Advanced Time Series Analysis 
開課學期
101-1 
授課對象
社會科學院  經濟學研究所  
授課教師
刁錦寰 
課號
ECON7154 
課程識別碼
323 M3730 
班次
 
學分
全/半年
半年 
必/選修
選修 
上課時間
星期一6,7,8(13:20~16:20) 
上課地點
社科5 
備註
與林金龍合開
限碩士班以上
總人數上限:50人 
Ceiba 課程網頁
http://ceiba.ntu.edu.tw/1011TATSA 
課程簡介影片
 
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課程概述

The course starts with a lecture introducing time series modeling strategy and
its usage. Then, several lectures are devoted to Box-Jenkins modeling procedures
for univariate time analysis, including identification, estimation, diagnostic checking and forecasting of a time series model. Seasonal models with applications is also discussed. Intervention and outlier, two important topics are illustrated with examples followed by some discussion on unit root test. 

課程目標
This course focuses exclusively on methods and applications of time series
analysis designated for graduate students majoring in economics, finance, statistics, engineering, or other related fields. Both univariate and multivariate time series modeling are covered.  
課程要求
Pre-required course: econometrics or mathematical statistics 
預期每週課後學習時數
 
Office Hours
另約時間 
指定閱讀
3 Packets
 Additional notes distributed in class
SCA (statistical software)
  
參考書目
Box, G, Jenkins, G. and Reinsel, R. (1994) Time Series Analysis, Forecasting
and Control, 3rd edition, Prentice Hall

 Wei, W.S. (2006) Time Series Analysis: Univariate and Multivariate methods
2nd edition, Addison Wesley

Pena, D. Tiao, C. and Tsay, R.S. (2001) A Course in Time Series Analysis,
John Wiley & Sons 
評量方式
(僅供參考)
 
No.
項目
百分比
說明
1. 
Homework 
20% 
 
2. 
Midterm 
40% 
 
3. 
Final project 
40% 
 
 
課程進度
週次
日期
單元主題
第1週
9/10  Introduction 
第2週
9/17  Box-Jenkins univariate time series modeling (I) 
第3週
9/24  Box-Jenkins univariate time series modeling (II) 
第4週
9/29 (六)  Box-Jenkins univariate time series modeling (III) 
第5週
10/6(六)  Box-Jenkins univariate time series modeling (IV) 
第6週
10/8  Box-Jenkins univariate time series modeling (V) 
第7週
10/13(六)  Box-Jenkins univariate time series modeling (VI) 
第8週
10/15  Box-Jenkins univariate time series modeling (VII) 
第9週
10/22  Seasonal models 
第10週
10/29  Intervention and outlier analysis 
第11週
11/3(六)  Unit root problems 
第12週
11/5  Review 
第13週
11/10(六)  Midterm exam. 
第14週
11/12  Multivariate time series modeling (I) 
第15週
11/19  Multivariate time series modeling (II) 
第16週
11/26  Multivariate time series modeling (III) 
第17週
12/03  Seasonal adjustment 
第18週
12/17  Final Project Presentation